UK business activity suffers steep slump in January

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People are seen on a street in Kingston upon Thames, Britain, on Jan. 21, 2021.

London, (Asian independent) Business activity in the UK this month registered an eight-month low slump as the country introduced a new round of lockdown restrictions due to the coronavirus pandemic, according to a report.

British Composite Output Index stood at 40.6 in January, down sharply from 50.4 in December 2020, far below the neutral 50.0 threshold, said the report published on Friday by IHS MARKIT/CIPS.

“A steep slump in business activity in January puts the lockeddown UK economy on course to contract sharply in the first quarter of 2021, meaning a double-dip recession is on the cards,” Xinhua news agency quoted Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit, a London-based global information provider, as saying.

The purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for the services sector dropped to 38.8 in January, down sharply from 49.4 in December, figures showed.

In addition, PMI for the manufacturing sector registered 52.9 in January, down from 57.5 in December.

“This is a sudden blow to the UK economy as recovery in the two sectors lost its momentum after some improvement at the end of last year,” said Duncan Brock, group director at the CIPS, a UK-based global procurement and supply organisation.

Brock said that “though worrying, this was not an unexpected downturn from businesses ravaged by restrictions, lockdowns and post-Brexit disruption”, adding that firms are “placing hope in vaccine programmes bringing more normality soon”.

Williamson echoed the optimism due to vaccines rollout, saying that the current downturn looked far less severe than that seen during the first national lockdown, and “businesses have become increasingly optimistic about the outlook, thanks mainly to progress in rolling out Covid-19 vaccines”.

England is currently under the third national lockdown since the outbreak of the pandemic in the country.

Similar restriction measures are also in place in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.